Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 3.789046e-05 0.000044 0.000051 0.000059 0.000068 0.000078 0.000089
2025-02-09 2.918182e-05 0.000038 0.000047 0.000059 0.000073 0.000088 0.000107
2025-02-16 2.531356e-05 0.000035 0.000047 0.000062 0.000081 0.000102 0.000129
2025-02-23 2.080498e-05 0.000031 0.000044 0.000062 0.000084 0.000110 0.000143
2025-03-02 1.650992e-05 0.000027 0.000040 0.000059 0.000083 0.000113 0.000153
2025-03-09 1.354061e-05 0.000024 0.000038 0.000057 0.000084 0.000118 0.000163
2025-03-16 1.123141e-05 0.000021 0.000035 0.000056 0.000085 0.000123 0.000174
2025-03-23 9.534835e-06 0.000019 0.000034 0.000056 0.000087 0.000128 0.000185
2025-03-30 8.062078e-06 0.000017 0.000032 0.000055 0.000088 0.000133 0.000196
2025-04-06 6.590404e-06 0.000015 0.000030 0.000053 0.000088 0.000136 0.000203
2025-04-13 5.091842e-06 0.000013 0.000027 0.000050 0.000086 0.000135 0.000206
2025-04-20 4.102702e-06 0.000011 0.000025 0.000048 0.000085 0.000137 0.000212
2025-04-27 3.574856e-06 0.000011 0.000025 0.000050 0.000089 0.000146 0.000231
2025-05-04 2.905052e-06 0.000010 0.000024 0.000049 0.000091 0.000153 0.000245
2025-05-11 2.704427e-06 0.000010 0.000024 0.000052 0.000098 0.000166 0.000269
2025-05-18 2.176747e-06 0.000009 0.000023 0.000052 0.000100 0.000172 0.000283
2025-05-25 1.590409e-06 0.000007 0.000021 0.000049 0.000098 0.000173 0.000289
2025-06-01 1.203124e-06 0.000006 0.000020 0.000048 0.000098 0.000177 0.000299
2025-06-08 9.099988e-07 0.000006 0.000019 0.000047 0.000099 0.000180 0.000310
2025-06-15 7.069462e-07 0.000005 0.000018 0.000047 0.000100 0.000186 0.000323
2025-06-22 5.357902e-07 0.000005 0.000017 0.000046 0.000101 0.000190 0.000335
2025-06-29 3.715024e-07 0.000004 0.000016 0.000044 0.000100 0.000192 0.000343
2025-07-06 2.211588e-07 0.000003 0.000014 0.000042 0.000097 0.000190 0.000344